Citizen Safety a Growing Concern in the Ripple Effects of Changes to World Orders in Wake of Unrest in Gaza/Israel, Russia/Ukraine
Posted by HCN on Thursday, November 2, 2023
According to many easily accessible accounts of world history, among the oldest nations, current borders aside, are Greece, China, Turkey, Russia, India, and Egypt. Of course lands in the Middle East such as where Jerusalem is, have undergone many events, however, still understood of where the region is.
Since about the materialization of the United Nations, roughly summer of 1945, the expectations of where the nations will stand on certain intensified issues, such as disputes of regions in and around Jerusalem, has pretty much been that they have stayed within certain lanes.
A brief discussion of what aspects of how things were like before it is now, is brought up, for illustration, in the picture painted of the possibilities discussed here, that the lanes of position on issues, may be up for some changes, or perhaps at least a review for changes.
It was not quite a hundred years ago, that Galicia, Transjordan, a United States without Alaska, to name a few nations, was a part of the world topography.
So when issues came up about the regions in and immediately surrounding Jerusalem, who was saying what? It was not as it is, known today, in basic aspects for conversation.
But since the last 50 years or so, old nations, have had simple expectations. ['Expectations' in this story, briefly refers to an in context expectation of what masses of people will see on big name TV, Internet, newspaper, hear on the radio, in short, commonly spoken of as the media.]
For example, Turkey's relations with Greece, and their relations with nations and constructs in the Middle East.
One by one. Head down the list,
West Bank,
Since about the materialization of the United Nations, roughly summer of 1945, the expectations of where the nations will stand on certain intensified issues, such as disputes of regions in and around Jerusalem, has pretty much been that they have stayed within certain lanes.
A brief discussion of what aspects of how things were like before it is now, is brought up, for illustration, in the picture painted of the possibilities discussed here, that the lanes of position on issues, may be up for some changes, or perhaps at least a review for changes.
It was not quite a hundred years ago, that Galicia, Transjordan, a United States without Alaska, to name a few nations, was a part of the world topography.
So when issues came up about the regions in and immediately surrounding Jerusalem, who was saying what? It was not as it is, known today, in basic aspects for conversation.
But since the last 50 years or so, old nations, have had simple expectations. ['Expectations' in this story, briefly refers to an in context expectation of what masses of people will see on big name TV, Internet, newspaper, hear on the radio, in short, commonly spoken of as the media.]
For example, Turkey's relations with Greece, and their relations with nations and constructs in the Middle East.
One by one. Head down the list,
West Bank,
Saudi Arabia,
Egypt,
Israel,
Syria,
Iran,
Egypt,
Israel,
Syria,
Iran,
..and so on,
then Turkey's relations with historically older nations such as Greece, and Russia.
In the last couple of months of 2023, one might think, say a student of international relations, that the relations Turkey has with all these different nations, and holding them concurrently, reference to the term the 'sensitive balance' all nations have, is starting to get a little more complicated with two very intensified set of tensions going on at the same time right now, as known, the tensions surrounding Gaza, where the death toll nears 10,000 in the month of October according to some reports, and the tensions in Russia and Ukraine.
Turkey known as the 'crossroads of East and West', are 'expected' to, in this post UN advent impacted world, to not entirely condemn either side in the Gaza conflict, as if they would, they could risk valuable relations with many if not all nations considered the West, while if they entirely condemned aspects of the rivalry to Israel, they could lose valuable relations to the East, or Middle East portions of the East, their neighbors, etc.
So how to do both when Russia's aggression on Ukraine, -how ever ones lens and view chooses a terminology for what happened, invasion, program, or other words to describe the military involved activity,- was considered uncomfortable, meantime, some aspects of what a number of nations are viewing as Israel's reaction to the referent October 7th 2023 attacks event, as 'disproportionate', essentially, the 'grand mizan', (mizan often written today in Arabic, can refer to scales such as for what amount of what is just or fair), may say it's too much bombardment than called for; --it starts affecting the line up of toy soldiers on the chessboard, the simple UN era lineup.
Now that we know the international line-up of allies and adversaries may be up for shakeup, masses of people such as protestors might get upset if the rules are broken, bent, or adhered to.
That's an, example of the ripple effect of the two region tensions going on (Russo/Ukraine, Gaza/Israel).
In general, no matter what region of the world, history has often shown that when heightened concerns arise, there arises potential for riots, protests, and activities like these, and when they get out of control, what might happen is people get injured. Other conflicts can start to rise, such as troops being called in to suppress violence and so forth.
(Is there anything in the news, or what is according to popular newspapers, in this 2023 year roughly, about the subtleties of the waxing and waning of relations between nations and Turkey, stemming from direct ramifications of Russia Ukraine tensions, that is not already expected to be in the 'script' of grade school level debate club type forum, on the chessboard of the UN era? Most news readers probably will say that things have not gotten far out the expected lanes. It may be a good thing. However, on a person to person basis, not everybody is going to be on the chessboard same page as the international relations graces seen on TV and the Internet.)
A few days ago, a group jumped out into the middle of an airport, Dagestan, to protest some of the things going on in the Middle East. It may have been a first, in terms of a globally cited news story of who, what, when, where, and why.
There may be other events like that on their way.
Preparation to address those events such as to deescalate them safely and successfully, may have to be put on a number of nation's agendas starting now through a trajectory of hopefully a wind-down of tensions in and around Gaza in the next week or so.
Other political-geographic models that lead to the same realizations can be looked at, such as what are the different political relation changes or non-changes between Greece and a host of other countries? For instance, Greek Turkey relations, Greek Russia relations, Greek Libya relations, etc. (confer a migrant crisis from Libya to Greece).
Governments may keep trying to push through a successful balancing act of peace at home, peace abroad, maintain friendly relations with everyone even when some of them have adversarial relations, all at the same time. What is guaranteed?
Besides catastrophic worst case scenarios, like war and unnecessary violence at the genocide level,--
In the fringes and outskirts of tensions between people, just a few people arguing, or possibly dying, the numbers may be markedly lower in contrast to the amounts list in Gaza the past few weeks, but it still is a matter of safety, and of course important.
then Turkey's relations with historically older nations such as Greece, and Russia.
In the last couple of months of 2023, one might think, say a student of international relations, that the relations Turkey has with all these different nations, and holding them concurrently, reference to the term the 'sensitive balance' all nations have, is starting to get a little more complicated with two very intensified set of tensions going on at the same time right now, as known, the tensions surrounding Gaza, where the death toll nears 10,000 in the month of October according to some reports, and the tensions in Russia and Ukraine.
Turkey known as the 'crossroads of East and West', are 'expected' to, in this post UN advent impacted world, to not entirely condemn either side in the Gaza conflict, as if they would, they could risk valuable relations with many if not all nations considered the West, while if they entirely condemned aspects of the rivalry to Israel, they could lose valuable relations to the East, or Middle East portions of the East, their neighbors, etc.
So how to do both when Russia's aggression on Ukraine, -how ever ones lens and view chooses a terminology for what happened, invasion, program, or other words to describe the military involved activity,- was considered uncomfortable, meantime, some aspects of what a number of nations are viewing as Israel's reaction to the referent October 7th 2023 attacks event, as 'disproportionate', essentially, the 'grand mizan', (mizan often written today in Arabic, can refer to scales such as for what amount of what is just or fair), may say it's too much bombardment than called for; --it starts affecting the line up of toy soldiers on the chessboard, the simple UN era lineup.
Now that we know the international line-up of allies and adversaries may be up for shakeup, masses of people such as protestors might get upset if the rules are broken, bent, or adhered to.
That's an, example of the ripple effect of the two region tensions going on (Russo/Ukraine, Gaza/Israel).
In general, no matter what region of the world, history has often shown that when heightened concerns arise, there arises potential for riots, protests, and activities like these, and when they get out of control, what might happen is people get injured. Other conflicts can start to rise, such as troops being called in to suppress violence and so forth.
(Is there anything in the news, or what is according to popular newspapers, in this 2023 year roughly, about the subtleties of the waxing and waning of relations between nations and Turkey, stemming from direct ramifications of Russia Ukraine tensions, that is not already expected to be in the 'script' of grade school level debate club type forum, on the chessboard of the UN era? Most news readers probably will say that things have not gotten far out the expected lanes. It may be a good thing. However, on a person to person basis, not everybody is going to be on the chessboard same page as the international relations graces seen on TV and the Internet.)
A few days ago, a group jumped out into the middle of an airport, Dagestan, to protest some of the things going on in the Middle East. It may have been a first, in terms of a globally cited news story of who, what, when, where, and why.
There may be other events like that on their way.
Preparation to address those events such as to deescalate them safely and successfully, may have to be put on a number of nation's agendas starting now through a trajectory of hopefully a wind-down of tensions in and around Gaza in the next week or so.
Other political-geographic models that lead to the same realizations can be looked at, such as what are the different political relation changes or non-changes between Greece and a host of other countries? For instance, Greek Turkey relations, Greek Russia relations, Greek Libya relations, etc. (confer a migrant crisis from Libya to Greece).
Governments may keep trying to push through a successful balancing act of peace at home, peace abroad, maintain friendly relations with everyone even when some of them have adversarial relations, all at the same time. What is guaranteed?
Besides catastrophic worst case scenarios, like war and unnecessary violence at the genocide level,--
In the fringes and outskirts of tensions between people, just a few people arguing, or possibly dying, the numbers may be markedly lower in contrast to the amounts list in Gaza the past few weeks, but it still is a matter of safety, and of course important.
