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Developments Concerning the Middle East Present that Foreseeable Eventualities Include Unrest

Posted by Headline Crest News on Thursday, December 7, 2017
Writing and publishing in stages begun December 7, 2017 5:40pm EST

The crux of what will be set forth is, over the next 4 or 5 months, perhaps culminating around the time of the upcoming Egyptian Presidential election this spring, if the subsequent reaction to the election results is peaceful, and barring no other major or cataclysmic development in Middle East, there is a recipe for a lot focus on the Middle East especially in terms of news stories covering events, and some aspects a recipe for a range of disasters of varying sizes here and there.

These are some of the current situations going on amidst the waning moments before major changes are set to take place in the Middle, perhaps answering the question why the Middle East will be keenly watched and unrest might be taking place intermittently: 

  • Libya having to contend with huge challenge of immigrants and even 'slavery' going on

  • Israeli citizens uncomfortable with Netanyahu, in regard to sentiments about perceived corruption.  
-Protests have been going on by Israeli citizens at the rate of about once a week; last week's protest showed about 20,000  

  • U.S. President Trump made statement about recognizing the Israeli Capital as Jerusalem in situ Tel Aviv 
-Reaction to this has already been seen in the Falesteen/Palestine/Israel land mass  
-Reactions here in the USA on policy debate floors
-Reactions by leaders of countries such as Egypt right through here and last few days
-Historically over about the past 100 years, the concept of 'recognition' as it relates to the region has been a sensitive fulcrum

  • Reiterating impending Egypt Presidential election
-Preceding past installments of Egypt leadership, has been unrest, such as Morsi supporters in clashes, mass youth unrest
-300 estimated were victims of a recent blast within the past few weeks in a masjid known for 'Sufi' attendees, as put in English language news stories
-Altogether about 70 Egyptian police officers have been the victim of assaults in recent months
-Egypt is geographically set neighboring some regions of Falesteen/Palestine/Israel land mass, and historically has had impact on geopolitics of referent land spectrum

  • Contestation involving Saudi Arabia and Yemen keep heating up

  • Somalia-- catastrophic event after event on average every few months take place, especially Mogadishu.  Heading south of the Middle East, but still abutting in there, or in there, depending on what the view of the day is on what the 'Middle East' is

  • Iraq still is not a walk in the park, referent framework war, in terms of being able to literally walk anywhere there and can feel 100% that there is no possibility of any kind of activity involving unrest

  • Of course the mounted contentions between ISIS and those fighting terrorism

  • Lebanon-- the Hariri resignation announcement last month perhaps amplified anxieties about the future and ramifications if and when such a resignation were to occur, in consideration, slated elections May of next year; thereunto, is subsequent reportedly withdrawal/rescinding of the resignation about a month later.  From crest to trough of what could be looked at as a diagram of a wave, now past, now that the anxieties have been brought out into press limelight, there is to possibly alternating degrees, are or have been, concerns about internal conditions of Lebanon, impacts on Lebanon stemming from what may be external, for instance pertinent immigration matters, and impacts that Lebanon has on external entities and matters, all amidst interactions between nomenclatures, citing some, Houthi, Hezbollah, Shia, Sunni, ruling parties, Saudi, Iran, and Yemen. 
-The circus of conflicting information generated through the press in English speaking sources, given their level influence nevertheless, can be dangerous to the international community, when they refer to pivotal dimensions, or said to be so, having to do with  Lebanon

Transitioning into the topic of criticism on the topic of economic support, 

  • As always, the role of Saudi as home of the Hajj and leadership holds title Custodian of Holy Sites referring to the two sites in Saudi; remembering within recent months a suspect made their way into the front doors of the Royal Compound; any encroachments that look like they are threatening to Saudi leadership, can be taken as threatening to the Holy Sites, which in turn, the entire Muslim World is in the ripple effect

Here are a few questions to plausibly consider:
  • Depending on the political condition, who is going to authorize suppression of protests if and when they get very large?
-Is the U.N. going to be called in?
-Candidly, some leadership folks in the Middle East probably do not want the U.N. in their affairs around now, due to the allegations against the U.N. of corrupt activities such as assaults on females by peace troops, and their contesting of punishment against what the Islam belief in Arabic calls fasad, activities which are haram, forbidden, in short homosexuality
-Would intervention forces be called upon in a case of extreme protesting, such as Western Hemisphere or European countries with highly capable military forces?
-And if the situation gets severe enough for all of that to happen, how long is it going to take to intervene?
  • What happens when immigrants in Libya spill over into other countries, what will be the policy on how to handle them when leadership changes are concurrently taking place?; the situation could conceivably be kept under control, but at this time, leaving room for possibilities outside of the box that could evolve, -could be rational



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Burma/Myanmar Crisis Corner

Update January 21, 2024
Key words/terms in the crisis today:
KIA
Kachin Independence Army
Myanmar National Democratic Alliance Army
junta
CDF-Mara chapter
National Unity Government of Myanmar (NUG)
Chinland Council
Arakan Army
Arakan Rohingya Salvation Army
United League of Arakan (ULA)
Palaung State Liberation Front (PSLF)
Tatmadaw
Ta'ang National Liberation Army (TNLA)
Three Brotherhood Alliance
Frequent jailing of journalists
MaBaTha
anti-Muslim 969


Update August 1, 2022
According to https://www.irrawaddy.com/news/burma/myanmar-junta-extends-state-of-emergency.html, Hliang set before the body a proposal of allowing him to serve 6 more months, whereat word has arrived in the press that a 'State of Emergency' has been extended 6 more months. HCN comment, it may be clear that a 'State of Emergency' in their meaning might not be exactly the same as it is in the US. Perhaps English descriptive term State of Emergency in the context of the Burma/Myanmar crisis is a translation of something.

Update April 21, 2022
Reports of riot at detention center in what appears to be Kedah State, Malaysia with past several days; 6 fatalities in aftermath; those fleeing Myanmar, over 300 're-arrests'. Ramifications of power overturn is how wide?

Update August 4, 2021: US State Dept slated to talk with NUG
Update June 19, 2021: Looks like Rohingya taking the brunt, no matter which way the developments go- story here https://www.hcrestnews.com/intercontinental-news/denialed-undeniable-rohingya-have-been-facing-brunt-of-oppression-no-matter-what-the-turn-of-events. Village burned to the ground, Kin Ma, June 17th, 2021, elderly dead in the process- elderly victims, plus corpses coming back without organs, equals what, not a tone that says perpetrators deep, perhaps just simply evil. May 26, 2021: An American journalist is detained; officials have died in custody. Pictures of armed soldiers in camouflage have been released, wearing white face masks (presumably due to COVID-19).. not to be disrespectful in asking, but why undermine the entire camouflage with white mask?, is a question that presents, when assessing the situation
Update May 10, 2021: Thermal/pyro methodologies of opposition suppression being used extensively. See PDF translated page of BBC article citing those activities at Attacks in Burma-Myanmar (italic click link) [copyright waiver request- time of essence]. Satellite usage is being suppressed in the region as well, so there is a strong chance that not every event is being recorded and broadcast for the world to quickly access and view through media.
Update Sunday May 9, 2021: NUG poised to set up a people's defense force; 8 protestors reported killed when fired on by security forces on Sunday May 2, 2021 thereabout, in Kyaukme, Shan State. Those events post April ASEAN meeting [..arriving classic off the airplane on red carpet, clasped hands, modern day dress suit considered Western; 3 finger wave, about as ancient... Debate on who is welcoming who.]
Static pro tem statement: There is an emergency situation in Myanmar... content deleted 4/15..Details still becoming clear.. still no signs that the current situation is not at genocide level (Original headline Saturday April 10, 2021)
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