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Spike in Gas Prices Summary, Logical Economic Principles...

Posted by HCN on Monday, March 7, 2022
Not intended to take up a whole lot of space, because once the it's mentioned, the rest is easy to fill in the blanks.
Quickly but carefully written full story here: https://hcn-cache.blogspot.com/2022/03/basic-concept-while-gas-prices-are.html
Presented in a bring to school and read aloud format.

The first economic lessons many learn in school, is supply and demand. That could hold the key why the cost of gasoline at the fuel pump is roughly 25 to 30% higher than it was just a few weeks ago.

It is world news there is a situation with Ukraine and Russia.

... the average Joe at the gas station...

Oil, where gas comes from, is all over the world...

With oil in numerous places, including off-shore, this provides for a broader set of supply. Let us look at the huge amounts of oil strewn out all over the outskirts of Russia and abutting countries, such as Ukraine, plus off-shore drilling... 

For easy illustration sake, Russia has arguably twice as much oil as the US.

If you keep going down the list, you will find countries like what comprises the region of Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Turkmenistan, (30k, 600, and 600, million estimated barrels, adding up to about 31.2 billion barrels) east of the Caspian Sea, which coming from the Atlantic shore, is east of the Black Sea, Azerbaijan, and of course Ukraine with amounts nearing 400 million barrels. 

The tensions between Russia and Ukraine, going on in the Ukraine as we speak, is geographically set a straight north shot over the Black Sea from Turkey. Although individually they might not top the list, collectively, the amounts of oil add up. 

A set of resources quite possibly affected, unless you go southeast of the Black Sea, where you arrive the Middle East.

So for right now, with crisis in Ukraine going on, that broad selection of oil, the supply, one might see, may have gotten trimmed down, ...  Oil is for the time being, has its limitations, perhaps leaning to the Middle East, and the Americas, that's the US, Canada, and areas in and around Venezuela, as top producers, likely because honestly, it might be a matter of common sense that accessing those oil reserves in the Ukraine area, Russia and its reputed roughly 100 billion barrels of reserves...

As supply gets smaller, the demand gets higher, and often, when supply decreased and demand increased, so too are increases in the prices for the product, in this case oil, corresponding to the rising cost of gas to fill vehicles up.



The next level of complexity: '73 Crisis

The abovesaid can be explained to 4th and 5th graders. No disrespect intended. 6th and 7th graders are often taught a bit about history... For Joe, and a housewife under a tight budget, $20 just to lace the bottom of the tank can be a hard hit, when in other times, 20 bucks can get you around for a few days.

It all is remindful of the gas crisis of 1973, and 70s summarily. The 'OPEC embargo'. Well usually an embargo is associated with tensions in a region... Right now the tension in a region that has been getting a lot of media attention is the referent Ukraine Russia one...



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Burma/Myanmar Crisis Corner

Update January 21, 2024
Key words/terms in the crisis today:
KIA
Kachin Independence Army
Myanmar National Democratic Alliance Army
junta
CDF-Mara chapter
National Unity Government of Myanmar (NUG)
Chinland Council
Arakan Army
Arakan Rohingya Salvation Army
United League of Arakan (ULA)
Palaung State Liberation Front (PSLF)
Tatmadaw
Ta'ang National Liberation Army (TNLA)
Three Brotherhood Alliance
Frequent jailing of journalists
MaBaTha
anti-Muslim 969


Update August 1, 2022
According to https://www.irrawaddy.com/news/burma/myanmar-junta-extends-state-of-emergency.html, Hliang set before the body a proposal of allowing him to serve 6 more months, whereat word has arrived in the press that a 'State of Emergency' has been extended 6 more months. HCN comment, it may be clear that a 'State of Emergency' in their meaning might not be exactly the same as it is in the US. Perhaps English descriptive term State of Emergency in the context of the Burma/Myanmar crisis is a translation of something.

Update April 21, 2022
Reports of riot at detention center in what appears to be Kedah State, Malaysia with past several days; 6 fatalities in aftermath; those fleeing Myanmar, over 300 're-arrests'. Ramifications of power overturn is how wide?

Update August 4, 2021: US State Dept slated to talk with NUG
Update June 19, 2021: Looks like Rohingya taking the brunt, no matter which way the developments go- story here https://www.hcrestnews.com/intercontinental-news/denialed-undeniable-rohingya-have-been-facing-brunt-of-oppression-no-matter-what-the-turn-of-events. Village burned to the ground, Kin Ma, June 17th, 2021, elderly dead in the process- elderly victims, plus corpses coming back without organs, equals what, not a tone that says perpetrators deep, perhaps just simply evil. May 26, 2021: An American journalist is detained; officials have died in custody. Pictures of armed soldiers in camouflage have been released, wearing white face masks (presumably due to COVID-19).. not to be disrespectful in asking, but why undermine the entire camouflage with white mask?, is a question that presents, when assessing the situation
Update May 10, 2021: Thermal/pyro methodologies of opposition suppression being used extensively. See PDF translated page of BBC article citing those activities at Attacks in Burma-Myanmar (italic click link) [copyright waiver request- time of essence]. Satellite usage is being suppressed in the region as well, so there is a strong chance that not every event is being recorded and broadcast for the world to quickly access and view through media.
Update Sunday May 9, 2021: NUG poised to set up a people's defense force; 8 protestors reported killed when fired on by security forces on Sunday May 2, 2021 thereabout, in Kyaukme, Shan State. Those events post April ASEAN meeting [..arriving classic off the airplane on red carpet, clasped hands, modern day dress suit considered Western; 3 finger wave, about as ancient... Debate on who is welcoming who.]
Static pro tem statement: There is an emergency situation in Myanmar... content deleted 4/15..Details still becoming clear.. still no signs that the current situation is not at genocide level (Original headline Saturday April 10, 2021)
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